CRT’S ARBEJDE MED REGIONALE DATA OG MODELLER – EN PLATFORM FOR ANALYSESAMARBEJDE Bjarne Madsen Af Bjarne Madsen

2 4 plancher Hvordan arbejder vi? Hvem er brugerne – nu og i fremtiden ? Hvad er SAM-K og LINE? Forskning i regional udvikling – et eksempel

Teknisk PC-platform til overvågning af den lokale og regionale udvikling Danmarks Statistik forskerplaceringsordning Analysemedarbejdere I regioner, beskæftigelsesregioner mv. Center for Regional- og Turismeforskning Danmarks Statistiks Rå-/Mikrodata Konfiguration af SAM-K and LINE Universiteter og andre forskn.inst.

Teknisk PC-platform til overvågning af den lokale og regionale udvikling Danmarks Statistik forskerplaceringsordning Analysemedarbejdere I regioner, Beskæftigelsesregioner mv. Center for Regional- og Turismeforskning Danmarks Statistiks Rå-/Mikrodata Konfiguration af SAM-K and LINE Universiteter og andre forskn.inst. 12 brugere 20 bruger PC’er Fælles PC 1 PC 8 PC’er

I dag: –5 regioner –4 beskæftigelsesregioner –Erhvervs- og Byggestyrelsen (EBST) –Bornholms Regionskommune (færgetrafikundersøgelsen, Bornholms barometer) –Ringkøbing-Skjern kommune –VisitDenmark –SDU (IFG / CFL / Kolding) –Københavns Universitet Hvem er brugerne?

I fremtiden: –Kommunerne – og KL??? –Videnskabsministeriet, Undervisningsministeriet, Velfærdsministeriet mv. –Universiteterne Bornholm som case og eksperimentarium: –Færgeundersøgelse & Bornholms barometer –Bornholms Regionskommune som case – budget, befolkningsfremskrivning, arbejdsmarked og uddannelse mv. –AKTUALISERING (HVAD SKER DER NU ?) Hvem er brugerne?

Registerdata = Danmarks Statistiks rådata SAM-K = Social Accounting Matrix for LINE = Lokal Interregional Ekonomisk model Hvad er SAM-K og LINE?

Registerdata = Danmarks Statistiks rådata –Personregisterdata 5.3 mio. records for –Produktionregisterdata 0,3 mio. records for –Aktualiserede data DREAM-data E-indkomst-data Moms-data Hvad er registerdata?

SAM-K = Social Accounting Matrix for Kommuner = Udvidede nationalregnskaber for kommuner –Produktion fordelt på erhverv –Befolkning, arbejdsstyrke, beskæftigelse og arbejdsløshed –Primærindkomst, skatter, indkomstoverførsler, disponibel indkomster –Efterspørgsel – eksport. Import, turisme, moms, vareskatter Hvad er SAM-K og LINE

LINE = Lokal Interregional Ekonomisk analysemodel = ADAM for kommuner –Fremskrivninger af produktion, indkomst, beskæftigelse, arbejdsløshed mv. (Basisfremskrivning / Krisescenario) –Konsekvensberegninger (turismens betydning, nedlæggelse af arbejdspladser, trafikanlæg, miljøkonsekvenser mv.) Hvad er SAM-K og LINE?

kort –Andel af befolkning i landområder ares 6 tables –Rækker: Kommunetype –Søjler: Land / by Forskning i regional udvikling: Øer og udkanstsområder – et par eksempler

Type of municipality HovedstadenMere end indb indb indb indb indb.I alt Bornholm 0,0 32,242,625,1100,0 Øer i udkantsområd er 0,0 25,041,733,3100,0 Øer ved store byer 70,30,0 20,28,11,4100,0 Alle øer 26,40,0 23,229,121,3100,0 Landbrugsko mmuner 0,0 13,249,537,2100,0 Fødevarekom muner 0,0 3,930,537,927,6100,0 Industrikomm uner 0,0 38,935,225,8100,0 5 store byer 0,053,914,46,518,56,6100,0 Københavns centrum 100,00,0 100,0 Hovedstadsre gionen 66,60,06,817,36,32,9100,0 Hele landet 20,08,814,319,323,414,1100,0 Fordelingen af befolkningen på by-/landområde og kommunetype

Type of municipality Capital region More than inhab inhab inhab inhab inhab.Total Bornholm 0,0 32,242,625,1100,0 Rural islands 0,0 25,041,733,3100,0 Urban islands 70,30,0 20,28,11,4100,0 Islands 26,40,0 23,229,121,3100,0 Primary sector 0,0 13,249,537,2100,0 Food sectors 0,0 3,930,537,927,6100,0 Manufacturing Industry 0,0 38,935,225,8100,0 5 major cities 0,053,914,46,518,56,6100,0 Copenhagen Centre 100,00,0 100,0 Greater Copenhagen 66,60,06,817,36,32,9100,0 Denmark 20,08,814,319,323,414,1100,0 Share of Population by Rurality / Urbanicity and by Type of Municipality in 2005

Type of municipality Capital region More than inhab inhab inhab inhab inhab.Total Bornholm 0,0 32,242,625,1100,0 Rural islands 0,0 25,041,733,3100,0 Urban islands 70,30,0 20,28,11,4100,0 Islands 26,40,0 23,229,121,3100,0 Primary sector 0,0 13,249,537,2100,0 Food sectors 0,0 3,930,537,927,6100,0 Manufacturing Industry 0,0 38,935,225,8100,0 5 major cities 0,053,914,46,518,56,6100,0 Copenhagen Centre 100,00,0 100,0 Greater Copenhagen 66,60,06,817,36,32,9100,0 Denmark 20,08,814,319,323,414,1100,0 Share of Population by Rurality / Urbanicity and by Type of Municipality in 2005

Type of municipality Capital region More than inhab inhab inhab inhab inhab.Total Bornholm 0,0 32,242,625,1100,0 Rural islands 0,0 25,041,733,3100,0 Urban islands 70,30,0 20,28,11,4100,0 Islands 26,40,0 23,229,121,3100,0 Primary sector 0,0 13,249,537,2100,0 Food sectors 0,0 3,930,537,927,6100,0 Manufacturing Industry 0,0 38,935,225,8100,0 5 major cities 0,053,914,46,518,56,6100,0 Copenhagen Centre 100,00,0 100,0 Greater Copenhagen 66,60,06,817,36,32,9100,0 Denmark 20,08,814,319,323,414,1100,0 Share of Population by Rurality / Urbanicity and by Type of Municipality in 2005

Type of municipality Capital region More than inhab inhab inhab inhab inhab.Total Bornholm 0,0 32,239,128,60,0 Rural islands 0,0 24,838,536,60,0 Urban islands 70,20,0 19,88,41,570,2 Islands 28,50,0 22,826,322,428,5 Primary sector 0,0 13,147,439,40,0 Food sectors 0,0 4,129,236,530,10,0 Manufacturing Industry 0,0 37,634,128,30,0 5 major cities 0,053,714,06,418,57,30,0 Copenhagen Centre 100,00,0 100,0 Greater Copenhagen 66,90,06,617,16,23,266,9 Denmark 20,58,714,218,622,815,220,5 Share of Residential Employment by Rurality / Urbanicity and by Type of Municipality in 2005

Type of municipality Capital region More than inhab inhab inhab inhab inhab.Total Bornholm ---6,98,76,27,4 Rural islands ---5,77,55,46,3 Urban islands 3,8--2,33,33,23,5 Islands 3,8--4,57,05,35,2 Primary sector 18,2-3,33,73,93,8 Food sectors 3,211,52,54,53,63,23,7 Manufacturing Industry 13,813,04,93,62,92,53,1 5 major cities 7,55,33,65,03,73,44,7 Copenhagen Centre 4,318,27,57,14,50,04,3 Greater Copenhagen 4,09,13,63,03,33,13,7 Denmark 4,05,33,53,93,43,13,8 Unemployment Rate by Rurality / Urbanicity and by Type of Municipality in 2005

Type of municipality Capital region More than inhab inhab inhab inhab inhab.Total Bornholm ---6,98,76,27,4 Rural islands ---5,77,55,46,3 Urban islands 3,8--2,33,33,23,5 Islands 3,8--4,57,05,35,2 Primary sector 18,2-3,33,73,93,8 Food sectors 3,211,52,54,53,63,23,7 Manufacturing Industry 13,813,04,93,62,92,53,1 5 major cities 7,55,33,65,03,73,44,7 Copenhagen Centre 4,318,27,57,14,50,04,3 Greater Copenhagen 4,09,13,63,03,33,13,7 Denmark 4,05,33,53,93,43,13,8 Unemployment Rate by Rurality / Urbanicity and by Type of Municipality in 2005

Type of municipality Capital region More than inhab inhab inhab inhab inhab.Total Bornholm ---6,98,76,27,4 Rural islands ---5,77,55,46,3 Urban islands 3,8--2,33,33,23,5 Islands 3,8--4,57,05,35,2 Primary sector 18,2-3,33,73,93,8 Food sectors 3,211,52,54,53,63,23,7 Manufacturing Industry 13,813,04,93,62,92,53,1 5 major cities 7,55,33,65,03,73,44,7 Copenhagen Centre 4,318,27,57,14,50,04,3 Greater Copenhagen 4,09,13,63,03,33,13,7 Denmark 4,05,33,53,93,43,13,8 Unemployment Rate by Rurality / Urbanicity and by Type of Municipality in 2005

Type of municipality Capital region More than inhab inhab inhab inhab inhab.Total Bornholm ---6,98,76,27,4 Rural islands ---5,77,55,46,3 Urban islands 3,8--2,33,33,23,5 Islands 3,8--4,57,05,35,2 Primary sector 18,2-3,33,73,93,8 Food sectors 3,211,52,54,53,63,23,7 Manufacturing Industry 13,813,04,93,62,92,53,1 5 major cities 7,55,33,65,03,73,44,7 Copenhagen Centre 4,318,27,57,14,50,04,3 Greater Copenhagen 4,09,13,63,03,33,13,7 Denmark 4,05,33,53,93,43,13,8 Unemployment Rate by Rurality / Urbanicity and by Type of Municipality in 2005

Type of municipality Capital region More than inhab inhab inhab inhab inhab.Total Bornholm ---6,98,76,27,4 Rural islands ---5,77,55,46,3 Urban islands 3,8--2,33,33,23,5 Islands 3,8--4,57,05,35,2 Primary sector 18,2-3,33,73,93,8 Food sectors 3,211,52,54,53,63,23,7 Manufacturing Industry 13,813,04,93,62,92,53,1 5 major cities 7,55,33,65,03,73,44,7 Copenhagen Centre 4,318,27,57,14,50,04,3 Greater Copenhagen 4,09,13,63,03,33,13,7 Denmark 4,05,33,53,93,43,13,8 Unemployment Rate by Rurality / Urbanicity and by Type of Municipality in 2005

Type of municipality Capital region More than inhab inhab inhab inhab inhab.Total Bornholm 71,433,3100,048,245,254,748,5 Rural islands 69,250,0100,048,145,753,048,7 Urban islands 54,00,071,452,355,757,953,5 Islands 54,046,281,849,546,853,250,5 Primary sector 73,360,925,052,751,156,653,3 Food sectors 75,947,953,750,750,456,852,3 Manufacturing Industry 54,750,967,250,750,557,052,1 5 major cities 63,952,750,651,952,057,252,4 Copenhagen Centre 56,139,346,048,361,157,155,9 Greater Copenhagen 54,140,052,052,752,857,553,6 Denmark 54,252,752,351,051,356,852,7 Labor Force Participation Rate by Rurality / Urbanicity and by Type of Municipality in 2005

Type of municipality Capital region More than inhab inhab inhab inhab inhab.Total Bornholm Rural islands Urban islands Islands Primary sector Food sectors Manufacturing Industry major cities Copenhagen Centre Greater Copenhagen Denmark Primary Income per Inhabitant (DK-kr) by Rurality / Urbanicity and by Type of Municipality in 2005

Type of municipality Capital region More than inhab inhab inhab inhab inhab.Total Bornholm ,092,1102,3100,0 Rural islands 4,6--109,894,5100,5100,0 Urban islands 96,9--115,8100,281,2100,0 Islands 126,8--109,682,682,4100,0 Primary sector 6,5--108,1100,797,0100,0 Food sectors 4,41,5110,9103,099,397,2100,0 Manufacturing Industry 0,41,70,9102,799,498,5100,0 5 major cities 4,197,897,2103,2108,9101,3100,0 Copenhagen Centre 100,51,8---18,6100,0 Greater Copenhagen 97,41,2107,6108,6102,899,0 100,0 Denmark 109,991,1103,3101,697,393,1100,0 Primary Income per Inhabitant (DK-kr) by Rurality / Urbanicity and by Type of Municipality in Index

Type of municipality Capital region More than inhab inhab inhab inhab inhab.Total Bornholm Rural islands Urban islands Islands Primary sector Food sectors Manufacturing Industry major cities Copenhagen Centre Greater Copenhagen Denmark Primary Income per Employed (DK-kr) by Rurality / Urbanicity and by Type of Municipality in 2005

Type of municipality Capital region More than inhab inhab inhab inhab inhab.Total Bornholm ,1100,489,6100,0 Rural islands 3,0--110,3101,991,3100,0 Urban islands 96,5--117,296,174,8100,0 Islands 117,0--111,190,978,4100,0 Primary sector 5,5--108,8105,091,4100,0 Food sectors 3,01,8106,5107,1102,988,9100,0 Manufacturing Industry 0,51,90,7106,1102,489,5100,0 5 major cities 3,498,099,6104,6108,691,6100,0 Copenhagen Centre 100,13,0---17,4100,0 Greater Copenhagen 96,71,7110,7109,7103,991,6100,0 Denmark 107,392,7103,8105,299,585,9100,0 Primary Income per Employed (DK-kr) by Rurality / Urbanicity and by Type of Municipality in Index