Alternative fuels for HDV - Perspectives from the Danish Energy Agency

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1 Alternative fuels for HDV - Perspectives from the Danish Energy Agency
October 9, 2014 Andreas Moltesen M.Sc. Engineering, PhD.

2 Outline of presentation
Goals for the transport sector Development of energy system and consequences for the transport sector Possible alternative fuels for HDV and their consequences

3 Goals for transport sector
10 % RE in fuels by 2020 (RED) 6 % GHG reduction for fuels by 2020 (FQD) Energy system (including transport) Free from fossile fuels by 2050 GHG reduction of 80-95% by 2050 Preferably independent of import of energy!

4 Publication: Energy scenarios for 2020, 2035 and 2050
4 scenarios (and reference): 2 ”Center”: Wind and Biomass 2 ”Extreme”: Hydrogen and Biomass+ ens.dk/sites/ens.dk/files/undergrund- forsyning/el-naturgas- varmeforsyning/Energianalyser/nyeste/ener giscenarier_-_analyse_2014_web.pdf Måske korterer her – bare sige at der er lavet denne analyse som peger på at det er teknisk muligt, men at hvis der kun skal bruges national biomasse og ingen fossile brændsler betyder det at der skal bruges meget lidt biomasse i transport – alt hvad der kan elektrificeres skal elektrificeres

5 Biomass use in 2050 National biomass potential  45 GJ pp., (world av.  29 GJ pp)

6 Main conclusions from ”Energy scenarios…” for transport
To be independent of energy import, biomass should only be used where electrification is not technically possible/very expensive. Electrification Cars, trains Vans HDV Biofuels Planes, ships

7 Alternative fuels – DEA
 GHG emissions  energy efficiency  costs Just been updated!

8 Alternative HDV fuels and vehicles included in model
Trucks: Diesel Biogas (as CSNG) Biodiesel (RME) Wood based DME Busses Natural gas (as CNG) 2nd g. biodiesel Hybrid bus on diesel -…and many other vehicles and fuels

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14 Conclusions Transition to fossil free transport sector is technically possible Biofuels for HDV are (also) needed - also on the long run Many different candidates with large variations in GHG emissions, less in energy efficiency and costs